Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (85-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JerShon Cobb * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Demps | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Cerina | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Liberman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adreian Payne * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 33 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 33 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter