Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Sterling Carter * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Basil Smotherman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Errick Peck | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jay Simpson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rapheal Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Bryson Scott | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Toyra | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| G. Woodward * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Jack * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Travis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Dickerson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Thorpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter