Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marble * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Aaron White * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Peter Jok | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abrams * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Rice * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Nunn | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Hill | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Tate | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Morgan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Colbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter