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2014-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% -
Efficiency 89.0% 11.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marble * 36 5-12 1-2 6-8 4 2 3 0 6 17 8 -
A. White * 24 6-11 0-1 2-3 6 2 1 1 2 14 11 -
M. Basabe * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. Gesell * 21 2-5 1-3 3-4 1 3 0 0 3 8 4 -
A. Woodbury * 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
G. Olaseni 26 3-5 0-0 9-10 12 0 0 2 0 15 24 -
J. Oglesby 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Uthoff 16 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 2 2 7 6 -
A. Clemmons 13 0-2 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
Z. McCabe 8 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
P. Jok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abrams * 33 3-8 1-2 4-6 3 2 1 0 3 11 6 -
J. Bertrand * 33 7-10 1-1 5-5 2 0 1 0 1 20 12 -
R. Rice * 32 4-12 1-4 4-5 9 3 2 0 2 13 13 -
J. Ekey * 30 4-11 1-5 0-1 5 1 0 2 0 9 6 -
N. Egwu * 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 2 6 5 -
K. Nunn 13 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 4 0 1 2 7 7 -
M. Hill 11 2-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
J. Tate 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Morgan 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Colbert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter