Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 41 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 40 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron White * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D. Marble * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter