Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 38 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jon Horford | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zak Irvin | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Chapman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 38 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter