Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Marlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 33 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Stanford Robinson * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Troy Williams * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Austin Etherington * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Howard | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Hollowell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Evan Gordon | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Davis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Hanner Mosquera-Perea | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Collin Hartman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter