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2014-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 88.0% 12.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +6 (49-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abrams * 37 6-15 1-2 0-0 6 5 3 0 1 13 11 -
J. Bertrand * 35 2-10 0-3 0-2 7 2 2 0 1 4 4 -
J. Ekey * 32 2-11 1-6 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
R. Rice * 31 2-11 1-4 3-4 4 2 3 1 1 8 6 -
N. Egwu * 28 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 6 7 -
K. Nunn 19 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Morgan 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
M. Hill 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Tate 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Taphorn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Lumpkin * 38 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
D. Crawford * 38 2-8 2-6 7-10 8 1 0 0 2 13 12 -
A. Olah * 36 4-10 1-3 0-3 7 2 0 1 0 9 9 -
J. Cobb * 35 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 11 7 -
K. Abrahamson * 15 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
T. Demps 33 4-11 3-6 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 11 11 -
N. Cerina 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Montgomery III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter