Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +25 (95-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bertrand * | 31 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| R. Rice * | 31 | 7-21 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Tate | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Nunn | 16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Hill | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Morgan | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Colbert | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gasser * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Dekker * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Jackson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Brust * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| F. Kaminsky * | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Koenig | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Dukan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Brown | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Anderson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter