Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Craft | 45 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Amir Williams | 35 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 28 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marc Loving | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross | 22 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Amedeo Della Valle | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling | 43 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Gary Harris | 42 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 32 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 27 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter