Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (56-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris | 37 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Keith Appling | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yogi Ferrell | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Will Sheehey | 30 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Stanford Robinson | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Noah Vonleh | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Troy Williams | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Hollowell | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Evan Gordon | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devin Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hanner Mosquera-Perea | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jonny Marlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Collin Hartman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter