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2013-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
ELO 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 75.5% 24.5% -6.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Moore 37 6-14 2-5 3-3 5 2 1 1 17 10
I. Crawford 36 7-14 2-3 4-5 6 4 1 20 17
J. Grant 33 4-13 -3 3-5 7 1 11 6
Player #15678 33 1-1 - - 1 2 1 2 2 3
Player #15122 33 1-4 -1 2-4 2 4 -2
A. Smith 15 2-7 - 6-9 1 4 3 3 10 8
S. Livingston 6 3-5 -1 - 2 1 6 2
N. Oden 4 -2 - - 1 -1
Player #18573 1 - - - 0
A. McConnell 1 - - - 0
T. Gleason 1 - - - 0

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Player #16148 33 1-4 -2 2-2 1 1 4 4 -2
J. Morrill 19 4-12 -1 1-2 5 1 1 9 2
C. Wyatt 17 -2 - - 6 2 2
Player #16143 9 1-1 - 6-8 2 1 8 10
K. Brown-Haywood 2 -3 -2 - -3

* = starter