Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moore | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| I. Crawford | 36 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| J. Grant | 33 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Hartwell | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Tuck | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Livingston | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Oden | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Piper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. McConnell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gleason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Qedan | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Morrill | 19 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hunt | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Brown-Haywood | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter