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2014-02-23

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: USC Trojans -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lee 39 3-7 0-1 2-2 8 5 1 1 6 8 10 -
A. Jemerigbe 38 5-11 0-3 6-6 1 7 0 2 4 16 11 -
R. Gray 26 10-14 0-0 2-2 11 2 1 1 0 22 23 -
G. Brandon 24 4-8 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
J. Hartman 22 3-3 0-0 1-4 1 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
M. Lyles 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
C. Range 17 3-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
M. Jefflo 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Shine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Waters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Dunn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Harberts 38 8-14 0-0 2-4 3 4 0 1 2 18 10 -
V. Crafton 31 4-16 2-8 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 10 -1 -
J. Adams 29 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 7 8 -
A. Vaioletama 25 1-4 1-2 1-2 7 2 3 0 1 4 11 -
K. Alofaituli 18 5-9 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 10 1 -
D. Bradley 15 3-4 2-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
B. Barrett 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Jaco 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
K. Oliver 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Horn 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Calhoun 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Totten 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Edelman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter