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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christopher Anderson * 35 5-6 3-3 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 15 17 -
Johnny Dee * 34 4-10 4-8 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 16 10 -
Jito Kok * 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 0 6 -
Duda Sanadze * 23 5-11 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 1 -
Dennis Kramer * 15 1-4 0-1 4-6 2 0 2 0 2 6 4 -
Chris Sarbaugh 24 4-9 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 9 1 -
Thomas Jacobs 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 1 1 1 7 -
Simi Fajemisin 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 3 -
Brett Bailey 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Tollefsen * 34 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
Avry Holmes * 32 6-10 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 15 6 -
Kruize Pinkins * 27 5-6 0-0 4-8 11 2 0 2 2 14 21 -
Cole Dickerson * 26 5-8 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 3 10 3 -
Matt Glover * 21 1-4 0-1 3-7 7 2 0 0 0 5 10 -
Chris Adams 29 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Tim Derksen 20 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
Gavin Hoffmann 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter