Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +13 (84-71). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Bailey * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Pressley * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Alec Wintering * | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Nicholas * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Sharp | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Riley Barker | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Korey Thieleke | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Volodymyr Gerun | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Bailey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David Carr | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Dickerson * | 34 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Avry Holmes * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Matt Glover * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kruize Pinkins * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Chris Adams | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Derksen | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Hoffmann | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter