Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gerson * | 40 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Wolfe * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Mason * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Imovbioh * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Umeri | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Randolph | 23 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| T. Suarez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Garner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown-Hoskin * | 40 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Spencer * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Burke * | 36 | 2-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| M. Gatling * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| K. Barrett * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Eli | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter