Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (90-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Gerson * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. Imovbioh * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Wolfe * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Suarez * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| B. Mason | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Umeri | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| F. Randolph | 21 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| R. Gaffney | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Garner | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Barnette | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| R. Jackson * | 29 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Liston * | 28 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| A. Jones * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| H. Peters * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| O. Chidom | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Wells | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. McCravey-Cooper | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Henson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Frush | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter