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2014-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.4 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (90-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Franklin * 28 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
L. Gerson * 28 6-11 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 13 10 -
S. Imovbioh * 24 3-10 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 0 3 9 9 -
K. Wolfe * 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 7 3 -
T. Suarez * 12 0-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
B. Mason 26 2-6 0-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
S. Umeri 23 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
F. Randolph 21 6-14 0-1 1-1 3 0 2 0 4 13 0 -
R. Gaffney 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Garner 7 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
S. Barnette 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams * 30 8-15 0-0 1-1 7 4 3 6 2 17 20 -
R. Jackson * 29 8-9 0-1 0-2 5 3 2 0 0 16 17 -
T. Liston * 28 8-12 4-6 1-1 12 3 1 0 2 21 23 -
A. Jones * 27 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 10 10 -
H. Peters * 24 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
O. Chidom 18 4-7 0-0 3-9 9 0 1 1 5 11 10 -
K. Johnson 14 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 3 4 3 -
C. Wells 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 3 3 -
K. McCravey-Cooper 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 2 8 -
A. Henson 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 -
J. Frush 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter