Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 26 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Jones | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. DeVaughn | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Rutan | 20 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| L. Mincy | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Moseley | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Pfirman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Howard | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mavunga | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| L. Coleman | 30 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. DeShields | 29 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Rountree | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Bryant | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Gray | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Washington | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Summers | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter