Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -5.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 33 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Gray | 31 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| H. Peters | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Liston | 27 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| R. Jackson | 25 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Henson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Chidom | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Wells | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. McCravey-Cooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lee | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Range | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Gray | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Jemerigbe | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Lyles | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hartman | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Jefflo | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| G. Brandon | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter