Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos +11 (87-76). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Brown * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Rian Pearson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Nathan Boothe * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Justin Drummond * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Lauf | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Matt Smith | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zach Garber | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Richie * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Taylor Perry * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Connar Tava * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Shayne Whittington * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| David Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jared Klein | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tucker Haymond | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Avery | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mario Matasovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen McCormick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hayden Hoerdemann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter