Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Myers | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| N. Hegstetter | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Simmons | 26 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Middlebrook | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Carter | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Davis | 21 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Rivers | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Hutchen | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| O. Hamilton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nared | 40 | 11-17 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| K. Gaze | 39 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Nicholson | 35 | 9-12 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 | - |
| D. Mauldin | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| H. Hendricksen | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Rosenthal | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Engelstad | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Arter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Mauldin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. McDonald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Kaser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter