Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -16 (51-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Parker | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| B. Montgomery | 30 | 7-20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Tanner | 30 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Olsen | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Tanner | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Capers | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Davis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Frerking | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Brimfield | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Starr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Dieng | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Farmer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carter | 35 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -3 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Justice | 33 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Morrison | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Woody | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Murphy | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Bennett | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Merder | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Richardson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hosea | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter