Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (92-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simmons | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Carter | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Middlebrook | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Hegstetter | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Hamilton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Myers | 19 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Rivers | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Hutchen | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Davis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| T. Liston | 27 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| C. Gray | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | - |
| H. Peters | 25 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Jackson | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Wells | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Henson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| O. Chidom | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. McCravey-Cooper | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Johnson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Frush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter