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2014-02-17

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina A&T Aggies South Carolina State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +1.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina State Bulldogs +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richaud Pack 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Lamont Middleton * 43 5-13 1-3 13-17 8 4 2 0 1 24 24 -
Denzel Keyes * 38 3-4 1-1 0-3 4 0 0 1 2 7 6 -
Bruce Beckford * 24 4-6 0-1 4-5 2 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
Steven Burrough * 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 -
Khary Doby 35 3-11 1-5 1-1 5 1 0 1 0 8 4 -
Ahmad Abdullah 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
Michael Briscoe 18 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 4 1 0 2 2 6 -
Waylan Siverand 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Bryan Akinkugbe 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

South Carolina State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matthew Hezekiah * 40 8-11 0-0 1-2 12 2 1 1 1 17 21 -
Darryl Palmer * 33 1-3 0-1 6-9 8 2 1 2 2 8 16 -
Adama Adams * 27 3-8 1-3 0-1 5 7 1 0 3 7 9 -
Devin Joint * 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
Darrion Eastmon * 19 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
Greg Mortimer 26 3-9 2-3 3-3 5 4 0 0 3 11 8 -
Karon Wright 18 2-8 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -3 -
Theron Stephens 16 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
Jordan Smith 10 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -
Patrick Kirksey 7 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Luka Radovic 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Chasen Campbell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter