Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +19 (62-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Van Scyoc * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Horgan * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ashton Moore * | 32 | 2-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Quinton Marshall * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Bray * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marshall Harris | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brian White | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Warren Sledge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tom Koopman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Droney * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| De'Mon Brooks * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Kalinoski * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Czerapowicz * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jack Gibbs | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jake Belford | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Barham | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joe Aase | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew McAuliffe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter