Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Regan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Javon McCrea * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Jarod Oldham * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Xavier Ford * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Evans | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jarryn Skeete | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Justin Moss | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| R. Pearson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Drummond * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| J. Lauf | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Z. Garber | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter