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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 โœ— (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -17 (70-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Black * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 3 24 34 -
Anthony Hubbard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 0 22 35 -
Blake Bozeman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 12 13 -
Ian Chiles * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 16 26 -
Cedric Blossom * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
Donte Pretlow 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 9 -
Thair Heath 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 3 0 0 5 -
Shaquille Duncan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Emmanuel Matey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kyle Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pendarvis Williams * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 16 18 -
Jamel Fuentes * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 9 0 0 4 3 13 -
Anell Alexis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 5 11 -
Brandon Goode * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 13 -
Riley Maye * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Rashid Gaston 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
Malcolm Hawkins 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 15 16 -
Marese Phelps 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 5 -
Kievyn Lila-St. Rose 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
Paulius Vinogradovas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 6 -

* = starter