Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -19 (50-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| LaVonte Dority * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Lexus Williams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jubril Adekoya * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Coleman | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Clay Yeo | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Vashil Fernandez | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bond * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Majok Majok * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jesse Berry * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Koch * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Quinten Payne * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zavier Turner | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Mark Alstork | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Franko House | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mading Thok | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chase Brogna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter