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2014-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.8% 98.2% -
Bradley-Terry 3.4% 96.6% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.4 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 35 5-10 1-1 4-4 15 1 0 0 2 15 19 -
B. Pressley * 34 4-7 3-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
A. Wintering * 31 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 7 2 0 3 3 8 -
K. Bailey * 22 4-10 2-3 3-4 1 0 1 1 4 13 2 -
T. van der Mars * 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
B. Sharp 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
R. Barker 16 1-4 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
V. Gerun 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
D. Carr 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Thieleke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 36 2-8 2-7 7-8 4 4 3 0 1 13 15 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
P. Karnowski * 31 1-5 0-0 1-3 9 0 0 4 2 3 9 -
D. Stockton * 29 3-4 3-4 4-8 2 5 1 0 2 13 15 -
S. Dower * 21 3-6 0-1 4-6 4 1 0 0 2 10 7 -
D. Barham 15 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 9 7 -
K. Dranginis 13 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
A. Nunez 12 4-6 0-0 5-5 2 0 0 1 0 13 10 -
G. Coleman 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter