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2014-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% -
Bradley-Terry 72.6% 27.4% -
Margin 71.9% 28.1% -5.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Log Adjusted 82.4% 17.6% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 39 3-9 2-5 5-6 1 3 0 0 2 13 6 -
G. Bell Jr. * 32 3-11 1-8 0-0 5 2 3 0 1 7 5 -
D. Stockton * 22 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 6 2 -2 -
S. Dower * 20 5-9 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 2 1 14 15 -
P. Karnowski * 19 3-4 0-0 2-7 1 0 0 2 1 8 6 -
K. Dranginis 30 2-6 0-1 2-2 6 4 3 0 2 6 11 -
D. Barham 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 3 2 -
G. Coleman 13 3-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
R. Edwards 8 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
A. Nunez 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Haws * 32 5-12 1-2 1-2 5 2 3 0 2 12 8 -
K. Collinsworth * 31 4-11 0-2 0-2 5 5 2 0 2 8 7 -
N. Austin * 26 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 2 3 -
A. Winder * 26 3-4 1-2 10-10 3 1 0 0 2 17 15 -
J. Sharp * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Carlino 31 5-13 2-6 3-4 4 6 3 0 2 15 13 -
E. Mika 24 4-7 0-0 5-9 8 0 1 1 3 13 13 -
S. Halford 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
L. Worthington 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
F. Bartley IV 3 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter