Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Pearson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Drummond * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Williams | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Lauf | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Z. Garber | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ugochukwu Njoku * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Jarod Williams * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Anton Wilson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Matthew Grant | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Onwenu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Lippert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter