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2013-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 39 4-6 0-0 3-7 6 6 3 0 3 11 17 -
Sandro Carissimo * 38 3-9 1-4 4-6 2 1 2 0 3 11 4 -
Clancy Rugg * 32 5-9 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 0 3 13 8 -
Candon Rusin * 29 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 -1 -
Luke Apfeld * 24 4-7 0-1 0-2 4 2 0 2 2 8 7 -
Hector Harold 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Kurt Steidl 12 2-5 2-4 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 9 6 -
Josh Elbaum 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Dickerson * 32 10-14 4-4 4-8 5 2 2 0 2 28 21 -
Avry Holmes * 32 3-5 0-0 7-8 5 3 2 0 1 13 17 -
Tim Derksen * 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
Matt Glover * 25 2-6 0-1 2-4 4 6 4 0 3 6 11 -
Mark Tollefsen * 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
Chris Adams 26 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
Kruize Pinkins 24 6-12 0-0 1-3 8 2 1 4 1 13 15 -
Corey Hilliard 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Gavin Hoffmann 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Matt Christiansen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter