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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% -9.1 โœ“ (16.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Margin 94.4% 5.6% -15.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -26 (47-73). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 9 4 1 4 2 22 -
Candon Rusin * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 22 26 -
Sandro Carissimo * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 12 18 -
Clancy Rugg * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 13 -
Luke Apfeld * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Josh Elbaum 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 0 1 11 -
Kurt Steidl 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
Hector Harold 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 3 6 -
Ethan O'Day 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Dre Wills 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryan Harris * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
Malik Garner * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Devarick Houston * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
Brett Roseboro * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Rodney Elliott * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 10 10 -
Quentin Jones 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 5 10 -
Chase Plummer 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 16 -
Will Darley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Charles Taylor 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
David Kadiri 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 3 9 -
Aaron Morgan 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Ben Grace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter