Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | UMass Lowell River Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Lowell River Hawks +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Garner * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devarick Houston * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Quentin Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| David Kadiri * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Bryan Harris | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Charles Taylor | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Will Darley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brett Roseboro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Joey Getz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeem Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| DJ Mlachnik * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kerry Weldon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Chad Holley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Livingston * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Antonio Bivins | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Mark Cornelius | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Parris Massey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter