Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Coppin State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coppin State Eagles +20 (91-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Garner * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Devarick Houston * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| David Kadiri * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brett Roseboro | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Morgan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Charles Taylor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Joey Getz | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Will Darley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ben Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Murray * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Taariq Cephas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Sterling Smith * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Arnold Fripp * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brandon St. Louis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Dallas Gary | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Christian Kessee | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jerimyjah Batts | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Ieans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Van Rolle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Oyefusi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter