Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zarko Valjarevic * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Xavier Pollard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dimitry Akanda-Coronel * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Christian Ejiga * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kilian Cato * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaun Lawton | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Till Gloger | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Mackey | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Garet Beal | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Micovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marko Pirovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devarick Houston * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Bryan Harris * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Malik Garner * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Charles Taylor | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Quentin Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Will Darley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter