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2014-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% -
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (55-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Randolph * 36 4-11 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 8 4 -
R. Cooper * 35 0-7 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
T. Releford * 34 5-11 1-4 2-4 3 3 0 0 2 13 6 -
S. Hale * 30 3-5 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 8 6 -
J. Taylor * 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
R. Obasohan 19 4-10 0-0 1-3 1 0 1 0 0 9 1 -
C. Engstrom 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
A. Key 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 34 2-8 1-6 2-2 6 3 1 2 1 7 10 -
J. Randle * 33 4-8 0-0 4-5 11 1 1 0 3 12 14 -
W. Cauley-Stein * 27 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 2 3 7 -
J. Polson * 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Hood * 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
J. Young 27 1-11 1-10 6-7 5 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
A. Harrison 22 2-6 1-3 1-1 3 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Poythress 18 0-3 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 3 -1 -
D. Johnson 14 4-4 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 2 0 9 13 -

* = starter