🐻⬇️🏀

@
2014-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Portis * 32 4-6 1-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 9 11 -
C. Clarke * 31 2-9 1-3 6-6 7 1 2 2 2 11 12 -
R. Madden * 31 2-6 0-2 8-8 4 4 1 2 6 12 11 -
M. Qualls * 25 6-13 2-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 14 4 -
F. Gulley III * 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bell 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. Harris 22 4-8 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 8 8 -
M. Wade 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
M. Kingsley 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 1 2 2 -
K. Haydar 7 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Randle * 40 6-15 0-0 2-5 10 0 0 1 3 14 7 -
A. Harrison * 39 5-15 0-1 4-7 4 3 2 1 3 14 6 -
A. Harrison * 38 2-12 2-5 2-2 2 0 2 0 4 8 -4 -
J. Young * 29 4-12 1-4 2-4 1 3 1 0 4 11 0 -
D. Johnson * 8 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
W. Cauley-Stein 30 8-12 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 2 1 16 20 -
A. Poythress 24 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 0 1 1 5 -
J. Polson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lee 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Hawkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hood 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter