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2014-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 โœ— (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—

Actual: Missouri Tigers +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 33 5-11 0-2 5-6 8 1 0 1 2 15 12 -
Rashad Madden * 30 4-12 1-3 8-10 3 4 0 0 3 17 9 -
Mardracus Wade * 28 2-4 0-2 4-5 1 1 3 0 2 8 7 -
Fred Gulley * 20 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 2 2 0 0 2 3 -
Coty Clarke * 19 3-5 2-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 0 12 14 -
Michael Qualls 27 3-8 1-3 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Alandise Harris 18 6-11 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 2 1 16 7 -
Moses Kingsley 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Kikko Haydar 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Rickey Scott 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Jacorey Williams 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Anthlon Bell 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Brown * 38 5-15 1-6 14-15 4 3 1 0 0 25 18 -
Earnest Ross * 35 4-13 2-7 5-6 11 0 1 0 2 15 12 -
Jordan Clarkson * 34 8-15 0-1 11-13 5 4 0 0 2 27 19 -
Ryan Rosburg * 23 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 2 8 9 -
Johnathan Williams * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 0 6 -
Wes Clark 24 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
T. Criswell 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Torren Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Shane Rector 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keanau Post 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter