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2014-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 36 4-15 1-6 0-1 6 6 2 1 2 9 7 -
J. Randle * 34 8-13 0-0 0-3 7 1 1 1 4 16 9 -
D. Johnson * 21 3-3 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 1 0 9 15 -
J. Young * 20 3-8 1-4 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
A. Harrison * 15 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 3 1 0 2 5 7 -
J. Polson 30 1-6 0-3 0-1 3 1 2 0 0 2 2 -
A. Poythress 15 1-4 0-1 4-5 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
W. Cauley-Stein 15 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
J. Hood 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Willis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bloodman * 32 3-6 0-0 6-6 1 3 0 0 2 12 8 -
F. Thomas * 32 2-9 0-3 2-4 4 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
C. Sword * 27 6-12 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 12 4 -
G. Ware * 24 2-5 0-0 8-8 4 0 2 0 1 12 12 -
C. Borchert * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
R. Johnson 30 3-7 0-0 4-8 4 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
J. Davis 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 0 4 -
T. Cunningham 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter