Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison * | 36 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Randle * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Young * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Polson | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Poythress | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Hood | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Willis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bloodman * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| F. Thomas * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Sword * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| G. Ware * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Borchert * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Johnson | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Cunningham | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter