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2014-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% -
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young * 38 8-14 4-7 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 20 9 -
J. Randle * 37 7-13 0-0 4-5 9 3 3 1 2 18 19 -
A. Harrison * 36 6-10 1-3 8-8 2 1 0 0 0 21 14 -
A. Harrison * 31 4-8 2-2 4-6 1 4 2 0 1 14 12 -
D. Johnson * 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Poythress 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
J. Polson 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Lee 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
W. Cauley-Stein 7 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
D. Hawkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brown * 38 10-17 3-6 10-12 3 2 0 0 2 33 19 -
J. Clarkson * 37 11-17 2-4 4-5 3 3 0 0 2 28 15 -
R. Rosburg * 30 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
E. Ross * 25 2-7 1-6 3-4 6 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
J. Williams * 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 1 5 -
W. Clark 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 1 7 10 -
T. Criswell 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Post 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Rector 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter