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2014-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% - โœ—
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 โœ— (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.6% 34.4% - โœ—

Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (87-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Young * 38 9-18 5-12 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 23 16 -
A. Harrison * 35 2-7 0-1 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
A. Harrison * 30 5-13 3-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 4 14 4 -
Julius Randle * 27 3-11 0-0 0-1 5 1 3 1 3 6 2 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
Dakari Johnson 20 7-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 0 15 16 -
Alex Poythress 17 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 3 10 7 -
Jarrod Polson 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Dominique Hawkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Mickey * 37 5-8 0-0 4-6 6 1 1 5 2 14 17 -
Anthony Hickey * 33 3-8 1-4 4-4 2 6 3 0 0 11 14 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 33 12-20 0-0 5-9 9 0 1 2 4 29 17 -
Jarell Martin * 31 4-7 1-3 0-2 3 1 2 3 0 9 11 -
Shavon Coleman * 30 5-11 2-4 2-3 9 5 2 1 3 14 17 -
Andre Stringer 22 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 9 6 -
Tim Quarterman 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Malik Morgan 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter