Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Young * | 40 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Qualls * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Rashad Madden * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Fred Gulley * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Coty Clarke * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alandise Harris | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mardracus Wade | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Moses Kingsley | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jacorey Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rickey Scott | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter