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2014-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% -
Margin 61.6% 38.4% -2.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young * 40 8-17 2-6 5-8 6 2 2 0 3 23 13 -
A. Harrison * 38 2-9 1-2 2-3 4 6 1 0 5 7 4 -
J. Randle * 32 5-11 0-0 10-14 14 0 0 2 5 20 20 -
A. Harrison * 24 5-8 2-3 4-5 1 1 0 1 2 16 9 -
W. Cauley-Stein * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
A. Poythress 32 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 0 12 13 -
J. Polson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
M. Lee 10 0-0 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
D. Johnson 9 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
D. Hawkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Qualls * 34 5-14 1-5 7-11 5 4 2 0 1 18 14 -
B. Portis * 33 4-9 0-2 3-4 10 3 1 2 0 11 18 -
R. Madden * 32 6-13 3-7 3-3 2 1 2 1 3 18 8 -
F. Gulley III * 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
C. Clarke * 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 2 4 -
A. Harris 27 3-8 0-1 6-9 0 0 2 1 1 12 6 -
K. Haydar 15 0-1 0-1 5-6 2 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Wade 13 1-3 1-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Kingsley 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
J. Williams 9 0-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
A. Bell 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Scott Jr. 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter