Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Millinghaus * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| LaDarius White * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Jarvis Summers * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Aaron Jones * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Demarco Cox * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Perez | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Coleby | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sebastian Saiz | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Martavious Newby | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Janari Joesaar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Sword * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Fred Thomas * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jacoby Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tevin Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter