Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +22 (85-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Thomas * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jacoby Davis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tevin Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Young * | 35 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derek Willis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Hood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E.J. Floreal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter