Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | -8.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.4% | 26.6% | -5.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -17 (67-84). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sibert * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Khari Price * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Vee Sanford | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Scoochie Smith | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Pollard | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryon Allen * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Sherrod Wright * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Erik Copes * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marquise Moore * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Jenkins * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Johnny Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Corey Edwards | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Patrick Holloway | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Vaughn Gray | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter