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2014-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UAlbany Great Danes UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% -7.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 75.0% 25.0% - โœ—
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -8.0 โœ— (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 69.9% 30.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 87.7% 12.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +2 (71-69). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Johnson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 20 26 -
John Puk * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 4 2 9 17 -
DJ Evans * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 2 8 -
Peter Hooley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 21 21 -
Sam Rowley * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 7 9 -
Dallas Ennema 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 4 7 -
Mike Rowley 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 10 -
Dave Wiegmann 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Luke Devlin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Elliott * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 0 4 16 23 -
Quentin Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 0 16 26 -
Devarick Houston * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 2 4 -
Charles Taylor * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Brett Roseboro * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
David Kadiri 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 0 13 21 -
Will Darley 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 12 -
Malik Garner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
Chase Plummer 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 7 10 -
Aaron Morgan 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter