Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +39.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +35 (86-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ervin | 39 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Salisbery | 36 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -4 | - |
| M. Schlemer | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Allen | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Gilbert | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Garza | 16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| N. Ofodu | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Lipton | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Balbierz | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Hughes | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Ale | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Koehler | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| P. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ogwumike | 30 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 29 | - |
| A. Orrange | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Ruef | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | - |
| E. McCall | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Thompson | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Samuelson | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Green | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. James | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Picknell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter