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2013-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mitola * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 13 16 -
G. Maldunas * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 5 18 24 -
J. Golden * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 12 17 -
C. Boehm * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -
T. Melville * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Gill 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 3 7 -
B. McDonnell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Rennie 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
T. Carpenter 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Crescenzi 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
W. Dickinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrell Bowie * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 12 18 -
A. Armstead * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 9 -
Jordan Threloff * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 11 21 -
Daveon Balls * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Dontel Highsmith * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 5 6 -
Travon Baker 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 0 -
Aksel Bolin 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 3 11 -
Pete Rakocevic 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 10 13 -
Antone Christian 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
J.J. Cravatta 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 8 11 -
A. Armstead 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter